Timeframes and R&D’s relevance to outcomes
The longer timeframes associated with R&D are not something the sector should try to hide from the public, and not a blocker to public support for research. Many people recognised that complex problems take time to solve and expect there to be a time lag before research pays off, although some people do want to see results faster. Shorter timelines are most desirable when research is focused on nearer-term problems such as the cost of living. At the same time, we have found that people consistently seek honesty and transparency in communications.
- R&D is seen as a useful tool for tackling society’s problems, but there’s scope to strengthen that link
- Opinions on R&D’s inherent time-lag differed – many focus group participants wanted to see outcomes sooner, but some said that complex problems cannot be solved overnight
- Many respondents feel that research that takes 10 or 25 years is worthwhile investing in, especially when the research is directed towards climate change or medical treatments. In contrast, respondents are less likely to think that research focused on the cost of living is worthwhile if it will take 10 or more years to pay off
- There’s appetite to hear about R&D’s long-term benefits and the value to future generations, if this still acknowledges the pressing urgency of current problems
At least a third of respondents across both our May 2022 and February 2023 polling felt that R&D had an essential role in tackling climate change and improving the quality of the NHS, and more than half of respondents felt that R&D was either essential or important for addressing the cost of living.
Looking first at our February 2023 polling, we find that people believe new research is essential for tackling climate change (42%), and securing the UK’s energy supply and lowering the cost of energy bills (43%). This framing can also help R&D messages reach younger people; on climate issues for examples, we see no difference between the youngest and oldest respondents in how essential they believe R&D is for solving the problem. Younger people were more likely to see new R&D as essential or important for addressing poverty and the rising cost of living.
In our May 2022 poll, we asked participants whether they saw a role for R&D in addressing various issues. More than a third of respondents felt R&D had an essential role in tackling climate change and improving the quality of the NHS, and more than half of respondents felt that R&D was either essential or important for addressing the state of the economy, the cost of living, the state of Britain’s armed forces, the quality and cost of public transport, the threat of terrorism, supporting people in old age, and the quality of and access to schools, colleges and universities.
Younger respondents were more likely than their older counterparts to say that R&D had an essential or vital role in addressing levels of immigration (48% for 25-34s, compared with 22% for 65+); the number of people on welfare (52% for 18-24s; 29% for 65+) and the levels of crime (53% for 18-24s; 33% for 65+). Notably – and in contrast to our February 2023 polling – older people were more likely to see R&D having a role in addressing climate change (60% 18-24s; 75% for 65+). Older people were also more likely to see R&D as being essential or vital role in addressing the quality of the NHS (68% for 18-24s; 81% for 65+).
The longer timeframes associated with R&D are often seen as a sticking point when engaging with the public. To understand public attitudes towards the R&D time-lag, in our May 2022 poll we took the top four issues where respondents saw a role for R&D as a solution, and asked those who thought that R&D had a role in addressing the issue when they thought the benefits would be felt.
Most people recognised that benefits would not come immediately, with less than a 15% selecting ‘within a year’ from the options. A similarly small proportion selected ‘after 2030’, apart from for climate change, where respondents felt that benefits would take longer to appear.
In a separate question in our May 2022 poll, we presented respondents with a set of interventions for each issue, either an immediate non-R&D investment or an R&D project, and asked them to select up to three that they thought would have the most positive impact on quality of our lives within the next year; by 2025 and by 2030.
For the first two time periods, the top three interventions were immediate pay-offs: “Investing in the NHS, such as hiring more doctors and nurses”, “Investing in addressing the rising cost of living through cutting taxes or increased welfare” and “Investing in building more clean energy sources in the UK”. However, when the time period was ‘by 2030’, there was appetite for the longer-term R&D options and “Investing in the development of new medicines to cure diseases” moved up to third place.
In our October 2023 polling, we included a section seeking to explore this further. First, we asked a broad question about expectations on the time it should take for R&D to have results or solve the problems it is seeking to, splitting the sample so that a quarter of respondents saw one of four different timeframes: 1, 5, 10 or 25 years.
We found that 26% said that if R&D was expected to take a year to achieve the desired results, it would be quicker than expected and therefore very worthwhile investing in. Just 10% said that this was too long to pay off to be a worthwhile investment. These proportions switched as the time periods increased, with 34% saying that 25 years would be too long to pay off, and 3% saying that it would be quicker than expected. For each time period, a plurality – between 45% and 58% – said that it was worth investing in and takes about the right amount of time.
We later asked the same question but framed around three different research topics: climate change, cost of living and medical treatments. Climate and medical treatments are both issues that respondents were more willing to expect longer timeframes for results to be achieved; for both, projects of 10 years were seen as being worthwhile investing in (56% and 67% respectively). In contrast, solutions to the cost of living that take 10 years or more are not seen as worthwhile to the majority of respondents.
When asked directly how long research should take to get results to be worth investing Government money in, the most-selected answer was at most 4-5 years (selected by 25%), followed by 1-3 years (22%) and 6-10 years (17%). Notably, 20% said that they didn’t know. Younger respondents are slightly more likely to seek nearer-term solutions – 63% of those aged 18-24 selected responses within 5 years, compared with 47% of those aged 65+. Among our segments (see Segmenting Our Audiences) we see that, as predicted, the Present Focussed group want to see results sooner, with 66% seeking results within 5 years, compared to 39% of Future Focussed.
In our December 2022 focus groups, participants were asked to prioritise a set of R&D projects or proposals, and asked to consider how much the specified timeframe influenced their decisions. Of those who expressed a preference for projects with shorter timeframes, some wanted action on issues that directly affected them and those around them. Others chose NHS-related projects motivated by a sense that the NHS was under pressure at that time. Others prioritised personal benefit, and so favoured shorter-term investment that would be felt in their lives more directly.
However, many respondents recognised that R&D investments need longer timeframes, and said that the timeframe was less important to them than the issue that was being addressed. Indeed, some explained that the problems being tackled were complex and should be expected to take longer to solve – or that they were simply worth taking the time to solve. Even when given a relatively distant ‘end date’ of 2040, many participants did not find that timeline off-putting for ambitious goals such as dramatically reducing plastic usage or reaching Net Zero. As discussed in the sections on Investing in R&D and Messages and Messaging, there was a desire for accountability and greater detail when a project had a longer timeframe.
This indicates appetite for longer-term R&D projects when they are framed in the right way, with sufficient clarity and explanation of the timeframes and progress points along the way.